2 Aug · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1384
FormLLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Kovshun
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1617
FormWLLWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+233
H2H6-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+233)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)