2 Aug · 19:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1553
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rejent
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1507
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Liska covers set handicap as underdog 62% (103)
Fair odds · Rejent
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H56-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-40)