2 Aug · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1686
FormWLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Baday
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1906
FormWWLWW
28%
72%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 62% (158)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+220
H2H113-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+220)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (113-7)