2 Aug · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1506
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Shchegelskyi
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1552
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivasiv🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (77)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H55-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-45)