3 Aug · 01:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1511
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Dukhovenko
OD
🇺🇦Oleksandr Dukhovenko
ELO 1831
FormWWWWL
20%
80%
⚡ Cover lean · Dukhovenko🌟Dukhovenko covers set handicap as favourite 63% (139)
Fair odds · Dukhovenko
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
18%
3-2
8%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+320
H2H11-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+320)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-0)