2 Aug · 20:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1493
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Treschetka
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1462
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.