2 Aug · 11:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1617
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Heinzl
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1576
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 64% (64)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H18-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.