2 Aug · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1506
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ivasiv
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1482
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Ivasiv stays under total as favourite 62% (79)
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H37-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.