3 Aug · 00:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1518
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1559
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
🌟Fashchevskyi covers set handicap as underdog 67% (99)
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H18-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.