2 Aug · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VL
🇺🇦Vladimir Lopata
ELO 1474
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Juppa
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1527
FormLLLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Juppa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)