2 Aug · 15:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VL
🇺🇦Vladimir Lopata
ELO 1474
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chadima
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1549
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)