2 Aug · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1686
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1747
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H60-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-32)