3 Aug · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1559
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H18-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.