2 Aug · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1552
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shchegelskyi
YK
🇺🇦Yurii Kolos
ELO 1542
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolos🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (77)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.