2 Aug · 16:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RR
🇺🇦Roman Reznychenko
ELO 1415
FormLLLLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Tuzhylin
AT
🇺🇦Alexander Tuzhylin
ELO 1705
FormWWWLW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Tuzhylin
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 85% · 1.18· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+290
H2H137-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+290)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (137-14)