2 Aug · 19:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1603
FormLLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Melnik
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
68%
32%
🌟Pismenniy covers set handicap as underdog 63% (122)
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H98-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (98-58)