2 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1502
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maslovskyi
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1493
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H70-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.