2 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1387
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Semenets
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1331
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tkalich🌟Semenets rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (84)
Fair odds · Semenets
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)