2 Aug · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1546
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 64% (80)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H18-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.