2 Aug · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lazebnyi
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebnyi
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Vlasenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (160)
Fair odds · Lazebnyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~63 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)