2 Aug · 16:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YM
🇺🇦Yevhen Masko
ELO 1612
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Masko
RC
🇺🇦Roman Cherevko
ELO 1595
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Masko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H99-71
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.