2 Aug · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇺🇦Jan Krames Sr
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sr
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1576
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Sr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (110)
Fair odds · Sr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H22-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.