3 Aug · 00:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1636
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chaikovskyi
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Krokhmal
ELO 1555
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)