2 Aug · 21:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1576
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rulc
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1507
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Liska covers set handicap as underdog 62% (103)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H53-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-40)