3 Aug · 02:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OG
🇺🇦Oleg Gavryshko
ELO 1568
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gavryshko
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1511
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Gavryshko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)