2 Aug · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1493
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Salivonchyk
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1523
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Treschetka🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H61-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.