2 Aug · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1448
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Stopin
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1376
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H30-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-2)