2 Aug · 23:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OG
🇺🇦Oleg Gavryshko
ELO 1568
FormLLWLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Dukhovenko
OD
🇺🇦Oleksandr Dukhovenko
ELO 1831
FormWWWWL
25%
75%
🌟Dukhovenko covers set handicap as favourite 63% (139)
Fair odds · Dukhovenko
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+263
H2H76-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+263)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-46)