2 Aug · 19:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TS
🇺🇦Tomas Stejskal
ELO 1457
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moulis
PM
🇺🇦Pavel Moulis
ELO 1475
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Moulis stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Moulis
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.