2 Aug · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1553
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sr
JS
🇺🇦Jan Krames Sr
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rejent🌟Sr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (110)
Fair odds · Sr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H63-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-33)