3 Aug · 00:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1629
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Konkulovskyi
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1554
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Konkulovskyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)