2 Aug · 16:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1502
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kheresko
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1493
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H12-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.