3 Aug · 03:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Polysynskyi
ELO 1433
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pitsyk
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Pitsyk
ELO 1506
FormLWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Pitsyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H18-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)