2 Aug · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1495
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1512
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hala🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (73)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.