3 Aug · 01:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sharpai
ELO 1536
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sharpai
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Pitsyk
ELO 1506
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Sharpai
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H14-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.