2 Aug · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1514
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Herrmann
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1495
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Herrmann
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.