2 Aug · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1490
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shchegelskyi
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1552
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Khomenko🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (77)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H50-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-18)