3 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yevhenii Korotin
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Korotin
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1424
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Korotin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)