3 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Shvydkyi
ELO 1304
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Novik
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1341
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Shvydkyi stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Novik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.