3 Aug · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1445
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sopivnyk
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1489
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Hryhorenko stays under total as underdog 62% (48)
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)