3 Aug · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1534
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stetsenko
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
56%
44%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 64% (80)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)