3 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1519
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mejzlik
KP
🇺🇦Karel Polak
ELO 1456
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)