3 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1469
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Plyska
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1413
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (76)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H24-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-12)