3 Aug · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1519
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Maslovskyi
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1501
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H23-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.