3 Aug · 07:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1534
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stetsenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1504
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 64% (80)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H7-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.