3 Aug · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1518
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ivasiv
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1504
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorsuliak🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 70% (103)
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H49-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.