3 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1656
FormLWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Aristarkhov
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1476
FormWWWWL
68%
32%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 65% (112)
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+180
H2H23-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-4)