3 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1605
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Volkov
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1538
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)