3 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1474
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vasyliev
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Salivonchyk covers set handicap as underdog 75% (53)
Fair odds · Vasyliev
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.