3 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1504
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shchegelskyi
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1568
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (77)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H49-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-27)